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Expiry dayPositionalNIFTYlow complexity

Pre-expiry OI-wall strangle

Large open interest at a strike often acts as a wall that option writers defend into expiry. This strategy uses those walls to place a short strangle. At 15:00 on the session before NIFTY's weekly expiry, it sells the call at the strike with the most call open interest and the put one strike below the strike with the most put open interest, then lets both decay into expiry with a stop at twice the credit.
The session before NIFTY's weekly expiry, sells a strangle at the biggest call open-interest strike and just below the biggest put open-interest strike, and holds it into expiry.
Market viewNeutral / range-bound
TradesNIFTY weekly options, 2 legs sold, held overnight
RiskOpen-ended (loss not capped by the structure)
CapitalFull option-selling margin
SuitsAdvanced
Trades a month3.8
Typical hold1 days
Profitable months10 of 12
Longest losing run2 trades
Made money inNIFTY staying within ±1% into expiryChoppy or quiet entry daysEntries while NIFTY is above its 20-day average
Lost money inNIFTY falling over 1% while heldEntry days that trend and close near the high or low
Default settings
Symbol
Entry time
Support steps
SL mult
Lots
Backtest this strategy →Change any setting, pick your own period and run it in the Quantsapp web app. Backtesting is part of the Max plan. Pro+ members can use it now as a free trial.
1

How it trades

What it trades
Universe
NIFTY Positional · 1 Oct 25 → 30 Sep 26
Enters
15:00 on the session before the weekly expiry
Legs
SELL CE · strike with the most call OI · Nearest weekly (expires next session) · 1 lotSELL PE · 1 strike below the most put-OI strike · Nearest weekly (expires next session) · 1 lot
Exits
stop buy-back cost reaches 2x the creditexpiry expiry session's close
Re-entry
Next week's pre-expiry session
Day
the trading session just before the NIFTY weekly expiry (the next session is the nearest expiry's date).
Levels
at ENTRY_TIME, from that expiry's open interest as of that moment: resistance = the call strike with the most open interest, support = the put strike with the most open interest.
Entry
sell the call AT the resistance strike and the put SUPPORT_STEPS strike intervals BELOW the support strike (the nearest listed strike at or below that), LOTS each, nearest weekly expiry. The day is skipped when the call is not above the forward or the put is not below it (no strangle "beyond" the levels that day).
Stop
the two legs together cost SL_MULT x the credit received to buy back.
Target
full decay - hold to the expiry.
Exit
the expiry session's close.
2

Results

PRE-BUILT · DEFAULTS
NIFTY · 2025-10-01 → 2026-09-30 · 45 trades · before costs
Net P&L+₹51,956
Win rate73%
Max drawdown−₹30,277
Avg per trade+₹1,155
Profit factor1.75
Worst trade−₹18,232
3

Where it made and lost money

In this test the strangle needed NIFTY to stay between the open-interest walls overnight and into expiry, and it usually did. The 31 trades during which NIFTY stayed within ±1% made ₹80,494 before costs with an 84% win rate, as both options decayed to almost nothing. The 8 trades during which NIFTY fell more than 1% lost ₹26,322: the put sits only one strike below the put wall, so a fall reaches it quickly and the twice-credit stop fires. Entries after trend days lost ₹10,769 over 18 trades, as the move often continued into expiry, while choppy days made ₹28,492 over 8 trades.

Market while the trade was held
NIFTY rose over 1% while held−₹11,9834 trades75% won
NIFTY within ±1% while held+₹80,49431 trades84% won
NIFTY fell over 1% while held−₹26,3228 trades25% won
Kind of session on the entry day
Quiet session (range under 0.75%)+₹27,07218 trades67% won
Trend day (closed near the high or low)−₹10,76918 trades67% won
Choppy day (wide range, closed mid-range)+₹28,4928 trades100% won
Session direction on the entry day
NIFTY closed above its open+₹13,93722 trades73% won
NIFTY closed below its open+₹30,85822 trades73% won
Trend going in
Uptrend (NIFTY above its 20-day average)+₹29,25821 trades71% won
Downtrend (NIFTY below its 20-day average)+₹15,53823 trades74% won
How the entry day opened
Gap up of 0.4% or more+₹10,2875 trades80% won
Flat open+₹22,94229 trades72% won
Gap down of 0.4% or more+₹11,56710 trades70% won
India VIX the evening before
VIX below 11.5 (calm)+₹17,34413 trades69% won
VIX 11.5-14.5 (normal)+₹9,73917 trades65% won
VIX above 14.5 (nervous)+₹17,71214 trades86% won
Expiry day (NIFTY weekly)
Expiry day+₹2,6061 trades100% won
Other days+₹42,18943 trades72% won
Day of the week
Monday+₹45,31038 trades74% won
Friday−₹5146 trades67% won
The same trades, split by the market conditions around each entry, before costs.
4

About this strategy

  1. Trade only on the session just before the NIFTY weekly expiry, usually Monday for a Tuesday expiry.
  2. At 15:00, find the call strike with the highest open interest (resistance) and the put strike with the highest open interest (support) for that expiry.
  3. Sell one lot of the call at the resistance strike and one lot of the put one strike below the support strike.
  4. Skip the day if the call is not above the forward price or the put is not below it.
  5. Close both legs if buying them back would cost twice the credit received.
  6. Otherwise hold through the night and into expiry, closing at the expiry session's close.

Why traders use it

Strikes with the heaviest open interest show where writers have committed the most money, and many traders treat them as support and resistance into expiry. Selling at or beyond those walls places the strangle where the biggest participants are betting the market will not go. Entering the afternoon before expiry captures the final, fastest day of decay, including the overnight portion, with a single position.

Works best whenIn this test, weeks when NIFTY stayed within about 1% overnight and on expiry day, so both options melted away. Entries after choppy or quiet sessions, and while NIFTY was above its 20-day average, did especially well.
Struggles whenWeeks when NIFTY fell more than 1% into expiry, reaching the put just below the support wall, and entries after trend days, when the move often carried on through the night and into expiry.

The year in plain words

On NIFTY from 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 with default settings, the strategy made 45 trades, one per weekly expiry where the walls bracketed the price, and won 73% for ₹51,956 before costs, a profit factor of 1.75. Thirty-six trades ran to expiry and nine hit the twice-credit stop. Average losses (₹5,762) were larger than average wins (₹3,670), and February lost ₹15,652, but ten of twelve months were positive. With two legs and one trade a week, costs were modest: after ₹20 per order and bid-ask slippage the result was ₹46,436. The maximum drawdown was ₹30,277.

What the settings do

Entry timeWhen the strangle is sold on the session before expiry. A later time collects less premium but leaves less of that session's movement.Support stepsHow many strikes below the biggest put open-interest strike the put is sold. More steps put it further away, collecting less but giving more room.SL multThe stop, as a multiple of the credit received: at 2 the trade closes when buying back costs twice what was collected. A wider stop is hit less often but loses more each time.

Risks

  • Both legs are naked and held overnight, so a gap can open far beyond the stop level.
  • Open-interest walls can shift or break on expiry day as writers cover.
  • Expiry settlement moved to a closing auction from 3 Aug 2026, so earlier and later results may not be comparable.
  • A single stop-out can wipe out several weeks of gains.

Who it suits

Experienced expiry traders who read open interest, have full margin for a naked strangle, and accept the overnight gap risk of holding into expiry.

5

Questions traders ask

How do you use open interest to select strikes?

Look at the option chain for the strike with the most call open interest, often treated as resistance, and the strike with the most put open interest, often treated as support. Writers have large positions there and tend to defend them. Selling options at or beyond those strikes places the trade where the market is least expected to go.

Is the pre-expiry OI strangle profitable?

In this backtest on NIFTY from 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 it made ₹51,956 before costs and ₹46,436 after ₹20 per order and bid-ask slippage (statutory charges not included), with a ₹30,277 drawdown before costs. Past results do not guarantee future ones.

Why enter the day before expiry rather than on expiry day?

Entering the afternoon before collects the overnight decay and the whole of expiry day's decay in one trade, with more premium than an expiry-morning entry. The cost is carrying a naked position overnight, exposed to gaps.

Why is the put sold one strike below the support?

The strike with the most put open interest is the main support. Selling one strike below it adds a buffer, so the market has to break through the support before the put is threatened.

6

Before you rely on it

ADAPTED FOR TODAY'S NSE RULESNIFTY weekly (Tuesday) expiry from the expiry list; sized in lots. The stop fills at market: an overnight gap opens beyond the level and a trigger fill there would be a price nobody traded.
WATCH OUTThe expiry settlement moved to the cash closing auction with the 15:40 close on 3 Aug 2026 - results before and after that date are not comparable. Naked short options overnight carry gap risk the stop cannot cap.
WHERE THE RULES WERE UNCLEAR · OUR CHOICESThe broker picks "support" by judgement; here it is one listed strike below the max put-OI strike (the "secondary support"), and resistance is the max call-OI strike itself. Entry time is not given: ENTRY_TIME 15:00, i.e. carry the position overnight. The source's example (stop 35 on a 17.70 credit) is ~2x the credit; SL_MULT 2.
Backtests run on historical NSE data with fills at the last traded price. "Before costs" excludes brokerage, taxes and slippage. Quantsapp is not recommending any strategy; it is just a backtesting utility. Past results are not a promise of future returns.

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