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Option selling · positionalPositionalNIFTYlow complexity

Monthly 45-DTE iron condor

This positional iron condor sells NIFTY monthly options about 45 days before expiry: the call and put near 0.30 delta, protected by wings bought near 0.16 delta. It closes at half the maximum profit, at a loss equal to the credit, or 15 days before expiry. The aim is a defined-risk way to collect monthly time decay with a fixed, mechanical playbook.
Sells 30-delta NIFTY monthly call and put about 45 days before expiry, buys 16-delta wings, and exits at 50% profit, a 100% loss or 15 days to expiry.
Market viewNeutral / range-bound
TradesNIFTY monthly options, 4-leg iron condor
RiskDefined (max loss known at entry)
CapitalHedged option-selling margin
SuitsBeginner
Trades a month1.1
Typical hold27 days
Profitable months7 of 12
Longest losing run2 trades
Made money inToo few trades to say; flat or rising months made money
Lost money inToo few trades to say; falls of over 1% mostly lost
Default settings
Symbol
Entry time
Entry DTE
DTE window
Short delta
Wing delta
Target %
SL %
Exit DTE
Exit time
Lots
Backtest this strategy →Change any setting, pick your own period and run it in the Quantsapp web app. Backtesting is part of the Max plan. Pro+ members can use it now as a free trial.
1

How it trades

What it trades
Universe
NIFTY Positional · 1 Oct 25 → 30 Sep 26
Enters
15:00 on the first day a monthly is 42-48 days from expiry
Legs
SELL CE · 0.30 delta · Monthly 42-48 days out · 1 lotSELL PE · 0.30 delta · Monthly 42-48 days out · 1 lotBUY CE · 0.16 delta · Monthly 42-48 days out · 1 lotBUY PE · 0.16 delta · Monthly 42-48 days out · 1 lot
Exits
target 50% of the net creditstop loss of 100% of the net credittime 15:00 on last session with 15+ days to expiry
Re-entry
Next monthly's entry window
Entry
ENTRY_TIME on the first trading day on which a monthly expiry is within ENTRY_DTE +/- DTE_WINDOW calendar days, when flat (one condor at a time, one per monthly). On that monthly: buy the ~WING_DELTA call and put (wings first - if either is missing the trade is skipped), then sell the ~SHORT_DELTA call and put. LOTS each.
Exits
profit >= TP_PCT % of the net entry credit (target), loss >= SL_PCT % of it (stop), both at the trigger level; otherwise EXIT_TIME on the last trading day with at least EXIT_DTE calendar days to expiry ("previous trading day if holiday").
Re-entry
the next monthly's window.
2

Results

PRE-BUILT · DEFAULTS
NIFTY · 2025-10-01 → 2026-09-30 · 13 trades · before costs
Net P&L−₹5,318
Win rate54%
Max drawdown−₹27,196
Avg per trade−₹409
Profit factor0.91
Worst trade−₹14,193
3

Where it made and lost money

Thirteen trades leave every condition below the eight trades needed for a firm reading, but one split is stark. Of the five condors held while NIFTY fell more than 1%, four lost, together ₹41,805 before costs: 30-delta short puts sit fairly close to the market, and a fall pushes them in the money while rising volatility inflates their price, so the 100% stop was hit. The six held while NIFTY rose more than 1% made ₹18,764, and the two in flat markets made ₹17,722. The condor's lopsided exposure to falls, typical of index options with put skew, drove the year's loss.

India VIX the evening before
VIX below 11.5 (calm)−₹15,7433 trades33% won
VIX 11.5-14.5 (normal)−₹18,7696 trades50% won
VIX above 14.5 (nervous)+₹29,1934 trades75% won
Kind of session on the entry day
Quiet session (range under 0.75%)−₹27,8305 trades40% won
Trend day (closed near the high or low)+₹11,7563 trades67% won
Choppy day (wide range, closed mid-range)+₹10,7565 trades60% won
Market while the trade was held
NIFTY rose over 1% while held+₹18,7646 trades67% won
NIFTY within ±1% while held+₹17,7222 trades100% won
NIFTY fell over 1% while held−₹41,8055 trades20% won
How the entry day opened
Gap up of 0.4% or more+₹8,8703 trades67% won
Flat open−₹18,5079 trades44% won
Gap down of 0.4% or more+₹4,3191 trades100% won
Session direction on the entry day
NIFTY closed above its open−₹2017 trades57% won
NIFTY closed below its open−₹5,1176 trades50% won
Trend going in
Uptrend (NIFTY above its 20-day average)−₹20,5996 trades50% won
Downtrend (NIFTY below its 20-day average)+₹15,2807 trades57% won
Expiry day (NIFTY weekly)
Expiry day−₹8,6842 trades50% won
Other days+₹3,36611 trades55% won
Day of the week
Monday+₹7,0071 trades100% won
Tuesday−₹8,6842 trades50% won
Wednesday+₹8,7229 trades56% won
Thursday−₹12,3631 trades0% won
The same trades, split by the market conditions around each entry, before costs.
4

About this strategy

  1. On the first trading day a NIFTY monthly expiry is 42 to 48 calendar days away, at 15:00, look at that monthly's option chain.
  2. Buy the call and put closest to 0.16 delta first; if either is missing, skip the month.
  3. Then sell the call and put closest to 0.30 delta, one lot of each leg.
  4. Take profit once the condor has earned 50% of the net credit; stop out when the loss equals 100% of the credit.
  5. Otherwise close at 15:00 on the last trading day with at least 15 days to expiry.
  6. Only one condor at a time; the next monthly's 45-day window starts the next trade.

Why traders use it

A 45-day condor collects a good share of the month's time value while avoiding the last weeks, when gamma makes positions jumpy. Selling 30-delta options gives a richer credit than far-out strikes, and the 16-delta wings cap the worst case and cut margin. Taking profit at half the credit and leaving 15 days early are well-known management rules meant to keep winners frequent and avoid letting a good trade turn bad near expiry.

Works best whenMonths when NIFTY drifts sideways or higher after entry, letting both short options decay towards half their value well before the 15-day exit.
Struggles whenSteady falls of more than 1% during the hold, which drive the relatively close 30-delta put towards the money while implied volatility rises, hitting the 100% stop.

The year in plain words

From 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 on NIFTY the condor traded 13 times, won seven and lost ₹5,318 before costs, a profit factor of 0.91. After ₹20 per order and bid-ask slippage on four legs per trade, the loss grew to ₹10,012. Six trades reached the 50% target and four hit the stop, while three closed on the days-to-expiry rule. Average losses of about ₹10,200 outweighed average wins of about ₹8,000. February 2026 lost ₹14,193 and March ₹13,003, and the last two trades were also stopped; the best month, June 2026, made ₹10,715.

What the settings do

Entry timeThe time on the entry day when the condor is placed.Entry DTEThe target days to expiry at entry; shorter values decay faster but collect less.DTE windowHow many days either side of the target the entry may fall, allowing for holidays.Short deltaDelta of the sold options. Higher values sit closer to the market, collecting more and breaching more often.Wing deltaDelta of the bought wings. Lower values place them further out, keeping more credit but widening the maximum loss.Target %The profit target as a percent of the net credit.SL %The stop, as a loss equal to this percent of the net credit.Exit DTEThe days to expiry at which any open condor is closed.Exit timeThe time of day for that exit.

Risks

  • The 30-delta shorts are close enough to the market that an ordinary monthly move can threaten them.
  • A stop at 100% of the credit means each loss is larger than each win at the 50% target.
  • Positions are held for about three weeks with full exposure to overnight gaps.
  • Second-month NIFTY options are less liquid than near expiries, so live fills can be wider.

Who it suits

Traders learning defined-risk monthly option selling who prefer a fixed set of management rules, have hedged-position margin and can hold positions for several weeks.

5

Questions traders ask

What is a 45 DTE iron condor?

It is an iron condor opened about 45 days before the options expire. Sold options near the market collect premium, and cheaper options bought further out cap the loss. Trades are usually closed well before expiry, here at 15 days left.

Is the 45 DTE iron condor profitable on NIFTY?

Not in this backtest. From 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 it lost ₹5,318 before costs and ₹10,012 after ₹20 per order and bid-ask slippage, over 13 trades. Statutory charges were excluded. Past results do not guarantee future ones, and 13 trades is a small sample.

Why 30-delta shorts and 16-delta wings?

Thirty-delta options give a sizeable credit with a reasonable cushion, and 16-delta wings, about one standard deviation out, cap the risk at a moderate cost. Narrower spacing collects less net premium; wider spacing lowers the cost of wings but raises the maximum loss.

Which expiry does it trade on NIFTY?

NIFTY monthly options, which expire on the last Tuesday of the month. The trade opens in the window around 45 calendar days before the chosen monthly and closes no later than 15 days before it.

6

Before you rely on it

ADAPTED FOR TODAY'S NSE RULESSource trades BANKNIFTY monthlies; run on NIFTY monthlies (last Tuesday), which are more liquid in the 2nd month. Deltas are the stored chain greeks (the source backs IV out of LTP the same way). Lots.
WATCH OUTFar-month strikes can be illiquid - LTP fills are then unreliable (switch on bid_ask slippage).
WHERE THE RULES WERE UNCLEAR · OUR CHOICES"delta-hedged" in the source's title is not described anywhere - no intra-trade hedging. Delta ties -> by_delta's nearest pick. LATE_ENTRY_FALLBACK (data): if the target monthly has NO chain on any day of its entry window (the local store keeps only the nearest two expiries, so a monthly appears ~2 weeks out), enter it the first day its chain exists (>= FALLBACK_MIN_DTE days left) and scale the time exit (EXIT_DTE x actual DTE / ENTRY_DTE). Never triggers on full data.
Also known asbanknifty 45 DTE condortasty-style monthly condorMonthly 45-DTE iron condor: sell ~30-delta strangle, buy ~16-delta wings; exit 50% profit / 100% loss / 15 DTEbanknifty monthly iron condor30/16 delta condor
Backtests run on historical NSE data with fills at the last traded price. "Before costs" excludes brokerage, taxes and slippage. Quantsapp is not recommending any strategy; it is just a backtesting utility. Past results are not a promise of future returns.

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