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Futures · technicalIntradayNIFTYlow complexity

Open drive range breakout

An open drive is a session that starts with a strong, one-directional move, with buyers or sellers in control from the first tick. This NIFTY futures strategy first checks whether the opening half hour was such a drive, then waits for price to break far beyond the range of the last five 30-minute candles in the same direction. The rules are demanding, so trades are rare.
After a strong one-way first half hour on NIFTY futures, trades in that direction only if price breaks the last five 30-minute candles' range by a full range, holding 90 minutes.
Market viewEither direction (follows the move)
TradesNIFTY near-month futures, 1 lot
RiskOpen-ended (loss not capped by the structure)
CapitalFutures margin
SuitsIntermediate
Trades a month0.1
Typical hold1.5 hours
Profitable months0 of 12
Longest losing run1 trades
Made money inToo few trades to judge (1 in the year)
Lost money inToo few trades to judge (1 in the year)
Default settings
Symbol
Open near %
Close in %
ATR mult
ATR days
Breakout mult
Hold bars
Entry cutoff
Exit time
Lots
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1

How it trades

What it trades
Universe
NIFTY Intraday · 1 Oct 25 → 30 Sep 26
Enters
Price clears the last five 30-min candles by their full range, after an open drive
Legs
BUY FUT · Near month · Current month · 1 lotSELL FUT · Near month · Current month · 1 lot
Exits
stop Opposite end of the first 30-minute candletime 90 minutes after entry, or 15:15 if earlier
Re-entry
None - one trade a day
Bars
30-minute bars of the near-month NIFTY future from 09:15 (the first bar is 09:15-09:45).
Drive
the first bar is an UP drive when it opens within OPEN_NEAR_PCT % of its range from its low, closes in the top CLOSE_IN_PCT % of its range, and its range is at least ATR_MULT x the average 30-minute bar range of the previous ATR_DAYS sessions. A DOWN drive is the mirror. No drive -> no trade that day.
Entry
checked once a minute from the end of the first bar to ENTRY_CUTOFF, in the drive's direction only: with H, L = the high / low of the LOOKBACK_BARS completed bars before the current one (they reach into the previous session), an up drive buys LOTS when price >= H + BREAKOUT_MULT x (H - L); a down drive sells when price <= L - BREAKOUT_MULT x (H - L). One trade a day.
Stop
the first bar's opposite extreme (its low for a long, its high for a short), at the level.
Exit
HOLD_BARS x 30 minutes after the entry, and never later than EXIT_TIME.
2

Results

PRE-BUILT · DEFAULTS
NIFTY · 2025-10-01 → 2026-09-30 · 1 trades · before costs
Net P&L−₹3,361
Win rate0%
Max drawdown−₹3,361
Avg per trade−₹3,361
Profit factor0
Worst trade−₹3,361
3

Where it made and lost money

With a single trade in the year, there is no evidence about market conditions. That trade, on 2 Jun 2026, followed an upward opening drive and lost ₹3,361 before costs after its 90-minute hold. The rules explain the scarcity: a qualifying drive needs the first candle to open near one end and close near the other with an above-average range, and the follow-up breakout must clear the last five candles by their own full range. Both rarely happen on the same day, so the strategy sat idle for the other eleven months.

The same trades, split by the market conditions around each entry, before costs.
4

About this strategy

  1. Build 30-minute candles of the near-month NIFTY future from 09:15; the first candle covers 09:15 to 09:45.
  2. Call it an up drive if it opened in the bottom 10% of its range, closed in the top 20%, and its range was at least half the average 30-minute range of the last 20 sessions. A down drive is the mirror image.
  3. With no drive, there is no trade that day.
  4. Until 14:30, check every minute: take the high and low of the last five completed candles. An up drive buys one lot when price exceeds that high by the full five-candle range; a down drive sells when price falls the same distance below the low.
  5. Place the stop at the opposite end of the first candle.
  6. Exit three candles (90 minutes) after entry, or at 15:15 if that comes first.

Why traders use it

Market-profile traders treat an open drive as a sign that one side has taken control early, and such days often trend. Requiring a second, large breakout in the same direction aims to join only when the drive is clearly continuing, not just opening noise. A stop at the far end of the first candle gives the trade room, and a fixed 90-minute hold keeps it focused on the momentum burst rather than the whole day.

Works best whenIn principle, days with a forceful one-way open that extends much further in the same direction. With only one trade in the test year, the evidence cannot confirm which conditions suit it.
Struggles whenOpening drives that stall or fade, which leave the strict breakout untriggered. The one trade taken lost money, but a single result cannot show which conditions hurt it most.

The year in plain words

With default settings on NIFTY futures from 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026, the full chain of conditions was met only once. On 2 Jun 2026 an up drive led to a long that was closed after its three-candle hold for a ₹3,361 loss before costs, or ₹3,479 after ₹20 per order and bid-ask slippage. A single trade says nothing about the idea's merit. What the year does show is how strict the breakout rule is: a move of a full five-candle range beyond the high, after a qualifying drive, almost never happened.

What the settings do

Open near %How close to one end of its range the first candle must open. A smaller value demands a cleaner drive and gives fewer signals.Close in %How close to the other end the first candle must close. Raising it lets weaker drives qualify.ATR multHow large the first candle's range must be relative to the recent average 30-minute range. Higher values require a more forceful open.ATR daysHow many past sessions make up that average range.Breakout multHow far beyond the five-candle high or low price must travel, as a multiple of that range. Lowering it is the main way to get more trades.Hold barsHow many 30-minute candles the trade is held after entry before it is closed.Entry cutoffNo new trade is opened after this time.Exit timeThe latest time a trade can stay open, whatever the hold count.

Risks

  • Trades are so rare that results cannot be judged from a single year.
  • By the time price has moved a full five-candle range beyond the high, much of the move may already be done.
  • The stop at the first candle's far end can be a long way from the entry, so one loss can be sizeable for a futures lot.
  • The drive thresholds are an interpretation, not a fixed standard.

Who it suits

Traders who study market-profile ideas and want a strict, rules-based definition of an open drive to experiment with, rather than a strategy that trades regularly.

5

Questions traders ask

What is an open drive in trading?

An open drive is a session where price moves strongly in one direction from the opening bell without returning to the open. It suggests one side is in control early. Here it means the first 30-minute candle opened near one end of its range and closed near the other.

Is the open drive breakout strategy profitable?

With only one trade between 1 Oct 2025 and 30 Sep 2026, there is not enough evidence. That trade lost ₹3,361 before costs and ₹3,479 after ₹20 per order and bid-ask slippage. Past results do not guarantee future ones.

Why did it trade only once?

It needs two rare things on the same day: a clean opening drive with a large first candle, and then a breakout beyond the last five candles by a full five-candle range. Lowering the breakout multiple is the main way to see more trades.

How is this different from an opening range breakout?

A standard opening range breakout trades any break of the first candle's high or low. This version first requires the opening candle itself to be a one-way drive, and then a much larger breakout in the same direction.

6

Before you rely on it

WATCH OUTthe author calls the logic naive; the breakout threshold (a full five-bar range beyond the high) is demanding, so trades are rare. Gross of costs.
WHERE THE RULES WERE UNCLEAR · OUR CHOICES- "Strong move from the open" is not quantified in the source: the drive test above (open near one end, close in the top / bottom 20%, range >= 0.5 x the average 30-minute range of 20 sessions) is the spec's interpretation. - The source has no stop: the first bar's opposite extreme is the spec's. - The source's sessions are not Indian; re-anchored to the 09:15 NSE open. Bar ranges are high - low (no gap from the previous close), so the ATR here is an average range. - The session after a monthly futures expiry is skipped: its lookback bars come from the expired contract, which the SDK's rolled series does not adjust (gap R2-A3).
Also known asopen driveopening drivemarket profile open drive
Backtests run on historical NSE data with fills at the last traded price. "Before costs" excludes brokerage, taxes and slippage. Quantsapp is not recommending any strategy; it is just a backtesting utility. Past results are not a promise of future returns.

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