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Option selling · positionalPositionalNIFTYlow complexity

Monthly 45-DTE short straddle

This is the well-known 45-days-to-expiry short straddle applied to NIFTY monthly options. It sells the at-the-money call and put about six weeks before expiry, aiming to capture the steady middle part of time decay, and exits by day 21 to avoid the sharp gamma risk of the final weeks. Profit is taken at half the credit, and the stop is a loss equal to the credit.
Sells a NIFTY monthly at-the-money straddle about 45 days before expiry and closes it at 50% profit, a loss equal to the credit, or 21 days before expiry.
Market viewNeutral / range-bound
TradesNIFTY monthly options, 2 legs sold
RiskOpen-ended (loss not capped by the structure)
CapitalFull option-selling margin
SuitsIntermediate
Trades a month1.1
Typical hold27 days
Profitable months7 of 12
Longest losing run2 trades
Made money inNIFTY staying within ±1% while held (small sample)Entries after India VIX closed above 14.5 (small sample)
Lost money inNIFTY falling over 1% while held (small sample)Quiet entry days (small sample)
Default settings
Symbol
Entry time
Entry DTE
DTE window
Profit %
Loss %
Exit DTE
Exit time
Lots
Backtest this strategy →Change any setting, pick your own period and run it in the Quantsapp web app. Backtesting is part of the Max plan. Pro+ members can use it now as a free trial.
1

How it trades

What it trades
Universe
NIFTY Positional · 1 Oct 25 → 30 Sep 26
Enters
15:00 on the first day a monthly is about 45 days away
Legs
SELL CE · ATM (premium-balanced) · Monthly 42–48 days out · 1 lotSELL PE · ATM (premium-balanced) · Monthly 42–48 days out · 1 lot
Exits
target 50% of the creditstop loss of 100% of the credittime 15:00 on the last day with 21+ days left
Re-entry
Next monthly's 45-day window
Entry
ENTRY_TIME on the first trading day on which a monthly expiry is within ENTRY_DTE +/- DTE_WINDOW calendar days, when no position is open (one at a time, one per monthly). Sell the call and the put of that monthly at the "premium-balanced" strike: two candidates - the near-month future rounded to the strike step, and the chain's own put-call-parity ATM - and the one with the smaller |call - put| premium difference wins. LOTS each.
Exits
profit >= PROFIT_PCT % of the credit (target), loss >= LOSS_PCT % of the credit (stop), both filled at the trigger; otherwise EXIT_TIME on the last trading day with at least EXIT_DTE calendar days to expiry ("previous trading day if holiday").
Re-entry
the next monthly's 45-DTE window.
2

Results

PRE-BUILT · DEFAULTS
NIFTY · 2025-10-01 → 2026-09-30 · 13 trades · before costs
Net P&L−₹29,776
Win rate54%
Max drawdown−₹1,14,865
Avg per trade−₹2,290
Profit factor0.81
Worst trade−₹62,813
3

Where it made and lost money

Thirteen trades leave every condition below the eight-trade mark, so the splits are indications only. The pattern is the one a short straddle predicts. The 3 trades during which NIFTY stayed within ±1% all won, making ₹47,471, and the 4 entered after India VIX closed above 14.5 made ₹48,961, helped by richer premiums. The 5 trades during which NIFTY fell more than 1% lost ₹1,35,187: a fall lifts the put faster than the call loses value, and with no hedge the loss runs until the stop or the 21-day exit.

India VIX the evening before
VIX below 11.5 (calm)−₹41,9305 trades40% won
VIX 11.5-14.5 (normal)−₹36,8074 trades50% won
VIX above 14.5 (nervous)+₹48,9614 trades75% won
Kind of session on the entry day
Quiet session (range under 0.75%)−₹1,11,0244 trades25% won
Trend day (closed near the high or low)+₹55,6705 trades80% won
Choppy day (wide range, closed mid-range)+₹25,5784 trades50% won
Market while the trade was held
NIFTY rose over 1% while held+₹24,5984 trades50% won
NIFTY within ±1% while held+₹47,4713 trades100% won
NIFTY fell over 1% while held−₹1,35,1875 trades20% won
How the entry day opened
Gap up of 0.4% or more+₹23,3212 trades50% won
Flat open−₹68,16410 trades50% won
Gap down of 0.4% or more+₹15,0671 trades100% won
Session direction on the entry day
NIFTY closed above its open−₹25,7987 trades57% won
NIFTY closed below its open−₹3,9786 trades50% won
Trend going in
Uptrend (NIFTY above its 20-day average)−₹76,4366 trades50% won
Downtrend (NIFTY below its 20-day average)+₹46,6597 trades57% won
Expiry day (NIFTY weekly)
Expiry day−₹62,8131 trades0% won
Other days+₹33,03612 trades58% won
Day of the week
Tuesday−₹62,8131 trades0% won
Wednesday+₹20,61311 trades55% won
Thursday+₹12,4241 trades100% won
The same trades, split by the market conditions around each entry, before costs.
4

About this strategy

  1. When flat, find the first trading day on which a NIFTY monthly expiry is 42 to 48 calendar days away.
  2. At 15:00 that day, choose the strike where call and put premiums are closest, comparing the futures price rounded to a strike with the chain's own ATM.
  3. Sell one lot of the call and one lot of the put at that strike.
  4. Close if profit reaches 50% of the credit, or if the loss reaches 100% of it.
  5. Otherwise close at 15:00 on the last trading day with at least 21 days left to expiry.
  6. Trade each monthly expiry once, then wait for the next one's 45-day window.

Why traders use it

Option-selling research popularised 45 days to expiry as a balance point: enough premium to make the trade worthwhile, while time decay is already speeding up. Exiting at 21 days avoids the final weeks, when gamma makes the position swing wildly with small index moves. Taking 50% of the credit is a common rule that locks in gains early. The rules are simple and need checking only once a day.

Works best whenIn this small sample, months when NIFTY stayed within about 1% of the entry level while the straddle was held, and entries after India VIX closed above 14.5, when the premium collected was larger.
Struggles whenMonths when NIFTY fell more than 1% during the hold, which produced the largest losses in this test, since the short put gains value quickly in a fall and nothing hedges it. Sharp moves in either direction hurt.

The year in plain words

On NIFTY from 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 with default settings, the strategy made 13 trades and won 54%, but lost ₹29,776 before costs, a profit factor of 0.81. The 50% target was never reached: eleven trades ended on the scheduled time exit and two on the full-credit stop. Average losses (₹26,428) were larger than average wins (₹18,399). February (−₹52,052) and March (−₹62,813, the largest single loss) drove the result, while June made ₹33,342. The maximum drawdown reached ₹1,14,865. After ₹20 per order and bid-ask slippage the loss was ₹40,391.

What the settings do

Entry timeWhen the straddle is sold on the entry day.Entry DTEThe target number of calendar days to expiry at entry. Longer gives more premium but slower decay.DTE windowHow many days either side of the target entry is still accepted, to allow for weekends and holidays.Profit %The profit, as a percentage of the credit, at which the straddle is closed. Lower targets are reached more often.Loss %The loss, as a percentage of the credit, at which the straddle is stopped out. At 100 the stop is a loss equal to the premium collected.Exit DTEThe days to expiry at which the straddle is closed if neither target nor stop is hit. Holding closer to expiry collects more decay but adds gamma risk.Exit timeThe time of day of that scheduled exit.

Risks

  • A naked straddle held for weeks can be hit by large overnight or weekend gaps.
  • The stop at 100% of credit can fill well beyond that level on a fast move.
  • Options 45 days out on NIFTY trade less actively than the near month, so spreads are wider.
  • Only about one trade a month means one bad month can outweigh several good ones.

Who it suits

Positional option sellers with full margin for a naked monthly straddle, who prefer to check positions once a day and can sit through weeks of swings in open profit and loss.

5

Questions traders ask

Why sell straddles at 45 DTE?

Around 45 days to expiry, options still carry plenty of premium and time decay is starting to accelerate. Gamma, which makes positions swing with small moves, is still moderate. Many option sellers see this as a good balance of income and manageable risk.

Is the 45 DTE short straddle profitable on NIFTY?

Not in this test. From 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 it lost ₹29,776 before costs and ₹40,391 after ₹20 per order and bid-ask slippage (statutory charges not included). With 13 trades the sample is small, and past results do not guarantee future ones.

Why exit at 21 DTE instead of holding to expiry?

In the last three weeks, gamma rises sharply, so a small move in NIFTY can swing the straddle's value a lot. Exiting at 21 days gives up the remaining decay in return for avoiding that period of highest risk.

Which expiry does this strategy use?

NIFTY monthly options, which expire on the last Tuesday of the month. Since a 45-day entry is around six weeks out, the contract traded is usually the monthly after the nearest one.

6

Before you rely on it

ADAPTED FOR TODAY'S NSE RULESMonthly NIFTY options (last Tuesday). Lot size from the exchange table on the trade date. The source rounds the cash index; the backtest has no cash-index series, so the chain's parity forward stands in for "spot" as the second candidate.
WATCH OUTNaked short straddle with no adjustments - large gap risk. 45-DTE NIFTY monthly is the next-next monthly most of the time; far-month liquidity is thinner than the near month.
WHERE THE RULES WERE UNCLEAR · OUR CHOICESLATE_ENTRY_FALLBACK: if the target monthly has NO chain on any day of its entry window (the local dataset stores only the nearest two expiries, so a monthly first appears ~2 weeks before expiry), the strategy enters that monthly on the first later day its chain exists (at least FALLBACK_MIN_DTE days left) and scales the time exit in proportion: exit DTE = EXIT_DTE x actual entry DTE / ENTRY_DTE. On the server's full data the 45-DTE window is used and the fallback never triggers. Set it to False to trade only the faithful 45-DTE form.
Also known as45 DTE straddletastytrade-style straddle NIFTY
Backtests run on historical NSE data with fills at the last traded price. "Before costs" excludes brokerage, taxes and slippage. Quantsapp is not recommending any strategy; it is just a backtesting utility. Past results are not a promise of future returns.

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